Showing posts with label Moni's NFL Picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moni's NFL Picks. Show all posts

Thursday, September 04, 2014

TransGriot 2014 NFL Picks-Week 1

The 2014 NFL season kicks off tonight, and after a horrible (for me) 2013 season on two levels I get to once again match football wits with 2013 NFL prognostication champ Eli Blake and Mike Watts and attempt to bring the title back to Texas.

After running away with it most of the season, Mr. Blake survived a furious late season 23-9 finishing kick by Mr. Watts to take the title to Arizona and win by three games.   Eli also got to watch his Seahawks finally claim that elusive Super Bowl title with a win over Mike Watts' adopted Denver Broncos squad.

2013 is history I definitely want to put in the rear view mirror.   The Texans putrid 2-14 season resulted in Gary Kubiak's firing, a new coaching staff under Bill O'Brien and number one overall draft pick Jadeveon Clowney about to play his first NFL game in a Texans uniform.   

Can they go from worst to first in the AFC South this season like the Colts did?    We'll see.

The rules are the same as last year.  Eli, Mike and I pick the winners of that week's NFL games, no spread.  Picks and changes of picks have to be posted no later than 10 minutes before scheduled kickoff time of Thursday's (or Saturday and Sunday) early games.  If you fail to select a winner for a game, that's considered a loss for tabulation purposes. Tie games get recorded as a tie on our season records regardless of team we selected.  Person with the best record at the end of the NFL regular season gets prognostication title and bragging rights until next season.

So let me get started with my picks for Week 1 of the 2014 NFL season.   Sixteen games, and it's always the most volatile week because you really don't have much to go on in terms of just how well these teams will play when the games start counting after four weeks of preseason games.

I want to get off to a good start and lay the foundation.  This week and the next four weeks of the 2014 NFL season will reveal which teams are contenders and which teams are pretenders fighting for the first pick of the 2015 NFL Draft next May. 

Team I'm selecting will be in underlined bold print.  And this year, I'm just listing the cities and not the nicknames so I can avoid writing the racist Washington NFL squad nickname they need to change ASAP. 

Mike and Eli's picks are here.

2013 Season Record
TransGriot      144-111-1
Eli                  163-92-1
Mike              160-95-1

Thursday Night Game
Seattle over Green Bay

Sunday Early Games
New Orleans over Atlanta
Cincinnati over Baltimore
Chicago over Buffalo
Houston over Washington
Kansas City over Tennessee
New England over Miami
New York Jets over Oakland
Philadelphia over Jacksonville
Pittsburgh over Cleveland
St Louis over Minnesota

Sunday Afternoon Games
San Francisco over Dallas
Carolina over Tampa Bay

Sunday Night Game
Denver over Indianapolis

Monday Night Games
Detroit over New York Giants
Arizona over San Diego
   

Saturday, January 18, 2014

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions- Championship Sunday

Who you got?Well TransGriot sports fans, this was the weekend myself and other Texans fans hoped that we'd be getting to for the first time in franchise history, but didn't happen for us.  Instead of playing for an AFC title they are rebuilding their coaching staff with Mike Munchak and Romeo Crennel the next rumored hires. 

Enough Texans talk, let's get to discussing the teams that did make it to Championship Sunday in the 2013-14 NFL Playoffs.  Mike and Eli's picks will be here.   

Unlike the Wildcard round in which three of the four road teams won, the script was flipped in last week's Divisional round with three of the four home teams winning.   I also got three of those four games correct, with me missing on the Carolina-San Francisco one.   

So I'm now 5-3 in the 2013-14 playoffs and have the Championship Sunday games to go.   What two teams will punch their tickets to Met Life Stadium tomorrow?    Well, let's get to the picks.

AFC Championship Game

New England (13-4) at Denver (14-3)

This one is a rematch of a November 24 regular season game that was played at Gillette Stadium in which the Patriots won it 34-31 in overtime after trailing 24-0 at halftime.   The Patriots roared back to score 31  unanswered points on its first five second half possessions to take a second half 31-24 lead. 

Manning hooked up with Demaryuis Thomas for an 11 yard TD to tie the game and send it into overtime.  After the teams traded possessions, on the subsequent New England punt by Ryan Allen it hit Denver's Tony Carter after it landed and was recovered by Nate Ebner on the Denver 13 yard line to set up the winning Stephen Gostkowski field goal for the 34-31 comeback win.
 
Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos and quarterback Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots shake hands after the New England Patriots defeated the Denver Broncos 34-31 in overtime at Gillette Stadium on November 24, 2013 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)The Broncos can thank the Miami Dolphins and their 24-20 win over the Pats as to the major reason why this game is being played in Denver.  

It's one more go around (the 15th time) in the battle between two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks in Tom Brady and Peyton Manning, and this time it's for a trip to Super Bowl XLVIII. 

AFC West champ Denver was the best team in the AFC all year and AFC East champ New England despite all the drama surrounding the Aaron Rodriguez mess and injuries finished with the second best record in the conference and are in their third (boo hiss) straight AFC Championship game after sending the Colts parking with a 43-22 Divisional round win.   Denver won their rubber match with the San Diego Chargers 24-17 to punch their ticket into this AFC Championship matchup. 

This game will come down to which team doesn't make the crucial mistake they will ponder the whole offseason. 

Who will hoist the Lamar Hunt Trophy at the end of the game?   Because they are playing at home, Denver

NFC Championship Game

San Francisco (14-4) at Seattle (14-3)

Call Seahawks All-Pro corner Richard Sherman Nostradamus.  He predicted back in march when the Seahawks traded for Percy Harvin and the Niners matched that move with the acquisition of Anquan Boldin that both these teams would meet for a thrid time with a Super Bowl berth on the line. 

He was correct, and now it's on and poppin'. 

This is the rubber match of the season series between the NFC West champion Seattle Seahawks and their hated NFC West rivals the San Francisco 49ers, who are the defending NFC Champions and playing in their second consecutive NFC Championship game. 

They split their regular season divisional games with the Seahawks blowing out the 49ers 24-3 at CenturyLink field during Week 2 of the season and San Francisco returning the favor with a 19-17 win during Week 14.

Now these two bitter rivals are playing each other in a battle that will decide who represents the NFC in the Super Bowl February 2 after knocking off their respective divisional round playoff opponents.  

While Seattle had to hold off a late charge from the New Orleans Saints to emerge as 24-15 winners at CenturyLink Field, San Francisco marched into Charlotte and handed the precocious NFC South champion Panthers a 24-10 setback to set up this winner take all NFC title game. .

Just as the AFC Title game is a showdown between two future Hall of fame quarterbacks, this NFC one features two of the young guns in the league with contrasting styles in Russell Wilson and Colin Kaepernick

Both have bruising defenses, can run the football down your throat with back Marshawn Lynch and Frank Gore, and excellent coaches in Pete Carroll and Jim Harbaugh. 

And the fanbases hate each other, too.  

The difference in this game is going to come down to turnovers and The 12th Man.   And yep, I see Seattle taking this game and hoisting the George Halas Trophy in front of their boisterous fans.

 

Saturday, January 11, 2014

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions-NFL Divisional Round

Usually it's an advantage for a team to host a playoff game, but you couldn't tell that by the results during the Wild Card weekend round of the 2013-14 NFL playoffs.  

Three of the four road teams won, and it would have been a clean sweep for them if Indianapolis hadn't executed the second largest playoff comeback in NFL history to eke out a 45-43 win.

I split the wildcard weekend games at 2-2, so now it's time to predict which way the NFL Divisional Round games for the 2013-14 playoffs will transpire.
Eli and Mike's picks are here
.  

Saturday Divisional Round Games 

New Orleans (12-5) at Seattle (13-3)

The early game has the Saints taking on the top seeded Seattle Seahawks in a playoff rematch of a December 2 regular season game at CenturyLink Field in which the Seahawks stomped the Saints 34-7. 

The Seahawks jumped out to a 17-0 first quarter lead in that game and never looked back as Russell Wilson lit up the Saints defense for 310 passing yards and 3 touchdowns.  


That 7 points the Saints scored in that blowout was the lowest point total they have scored since Sean Payton became their head coach in 2006.  It'll be safe to assume now that the Saints have gotten that road playoff woes gorilla off their back with that 26-24 win in Philly last week, they will score more than 7 points in this game.  

New Orleans will march into Seattle in a better mood to ezorcise another playoff demon in terms of their loss to a 7-9 Seahawk team when they were trying to repeat as NFL champs. 

The Saints are the number two ranked team in the NFL in total offense and number four in total defense and Drew Brees will probably have a better games as well.   

But Seattle was the number four team in the league in rushing offense thanks to Marshawn Lynch, and has six Pro Bowlers.  One of them is Texan season killer Richard Sherman, who had a league leading 8 interceptions.  They are rested, made a run to the divisional round last year, are champs of the toughest division in the NFL and have a formidable home field advantage with the ear-splitting loud 12th Man.

Aluminum bleachers behind the end zones of CenturyLink Field are ready-made noisemakers, and cantilever roofs draped over the upper deck on each sidelineBut that Seahawks home field invincibility aura took a hit after they lost to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16 to snap their 14 game home winning streak 

Something else for you Saints fans to keep hope alive with.  Since 2005, Number 6 seeds are 5-2 against Number 1 seeds in the divisional round of the NFL postseason.

Yeah yeah, it's hard to beat a team twice in the same season, but Seattle to win and make it to the NFC title game..

Indianapolis (12-5) at New England (12-4)

Andrew Luck
I don't like either one of these teams, so in my case as I'm watching this late game it comes down to which team do I despise more?  

So what do the Indianapolis Colts do for an encore after executing the second largest playoff comeback in NFL history to escape with a 45-44 win?  Try to beat the number two seeded New England Patriots in a Divisional Round playoff game at Gillette Stadium and their future Hall of Fame QB.

Good luck with that task   New England has had a week to watch the tape of that game and you can bet that Bill Belichick has already planned on taking TY Hilton away from Andrew Luck and making him beat them without his best weapon.  

 Luck is capable of flinging the football around as he proved last week against Kansas City, but he isn't playing in the cozy confines of Lucas Oil Stadium this week, he's in Foxborough where the Patriots have won 14 of their last 15 home playoff games.   

But the question remains does Tom Brady have the weapons on his side to beat the Colts?   Yep.

Even though Rob Gronkowski is out, they still have their trio of RB's in Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen, and LeGarrette Blount to throw at the Colts and set up their lethal play action passing offense. 

New England will be focused because they remember how their season ended last year, with a home loss in the AFC Championship game to the Ravens.

New England (boo hiss) to win the nightcap playoff game and punch their ticket to the AFC Championship game.    


Sunday Divisional Round Games 

San Francisco (13-4) at Carolina (12-4)

Wild Card Playoffs - San Francisco 49ers v Green Bay PackersThis early game is another one of the three regular season rematch games on the divisional playoff schedule.  Back on November 10 the teams clashed at Candlestick Park with the 49ers on a five game winning streak and coming off a bye week.  

But the Panthers escaped with a 10-9 statement win that propelled them to an NFC South title and the number two seed in the NFC playoff bracket.  

A large part of the story in that Carolina win was Colin Kaepernick being sacked six times and only generating 91 yards passing.  WR Michael Crabtree and TE Vernon Davis were sidelined with injuries and in Davis' case a concussion.  RB Frank Gore didn't have a very productive day either.

Well, they're all back, and the 49ers come into Charlotte for this rematch at Bank of America Stadium on a roll after subduing the Green Bay 23-20 in a frosty wildcard round game that Kaepernick rushed for nearly 100 yards to end the Packers season. 

The Niners are determined to do the same to the Panthers and avenge the loss at Candlestick  Their defense is ranked fourth against the rush and seventh against the pass and gave Cam Newton fits, too.

But as the Panthers have proven in this stellar season for them, they are no slouches on defense either, ranking sixth against the pass and second against the run.   Luke Kuechly has been their anchor in his Pro Bowl season  
 
Cam Newton also had a less than stellar day in that first game at Candlestick, but in his first ever playoff game he is wanting to prove he is an elite quarterback that can carry his team to a Super Bowl, and he gets his opportunity to prove it.

And yes, as I mentioned earlier, it's hard to beat a team twice in the same season.  This is going to be a tough, hard fought defensive struggle like the first one was in Candlestick, but I think Carolina will pull it out late to make it to the NFC championship game.    
   

San Diego (10-7) at Denver (13-3)

This Sunday late game is round three of the season series between the Chargers and their AFC West foes  the Denver Broncos.   The Bolts shocked the Cincinnati Bengals and the NFL world in The Jungle with a 27-10 upset win to set up the rubber match with their top seeded nemesis. 

Peyton Manning wants to be playing football on February 2.  So does Philip Rivers.  Which quarterback will make it happen for his team? 


The Broncos and Chargers split the 2013 season series with Denver taking a 28-20 win over the Bolts in San Diego on November 10. 

The Chargers returned the favor in a nationally televised 27-20 win in Denver on December 12 that snapped the Broncos 13 game home winning steak and 10 game winning streak against AFC West Division opponents.

San Diego has basically been on a playoff pressure run for the last month, having won five straight games since December 8.  So the Bolts are riding a lot of momentum coming into this game. 

The Chargers have figured out the best way to defend Peyton Manning is keep him and his offense on the bench.  In that December 12 win they ate up 38 minutes on the clock and frustrated the Broncos.  They are going to attempt to do the same thing again.   

And something else to make you worry Denver fans besides Peyton Manning's 9-11 playoff record.  It was the same scenario that the Ravens came into Sports Authority Stadium with last year and ended the Broncos season with.

And yep, may I remind you Broncos fans of the stat that Seattle fans are nervously contemplating.  Since 2005, Number 6 seeds are 5-2 against Number 1 seeds in the divisional round of the NFL postseason.

Denver wants to shake off the bitter memories of last season's stunning playoff loss to the Ravens and advance to the Super Bowl.   But they have to get past the Chargers first, and losing Von Miller for the season and Derek Wolfe for this game isn't going to help.

Neither will the Bronco offense getting off to a slow start in this game against a hot team. 

It'll also help tremendously their chances of hosting the AFC title game at Sports Authority Field if the Broncos offense gets to play with the ball for more than 22 minutes and play some defense when it counts.

I think the Broncos can do it.   Denver to win and host the AFC Championship game

 

Friday, January 03, 2014

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions- Wildcard Weekend


2013 was my worst ever  NFL prognostication season.   Like my hometown team I had high hopes of defending my title, but multiple .sub 500 weeks killed that for me. 

Like the Texans, i"m looking forward to the start of the 2014 NFL season and May's NFL Draft in which we have the first pick after a 2-14 meltdown.  We'll have a new coach in Bill O'Brien and a new quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater. .

The winter of my NFL discontent could be worse.  I could be hearing it from the Harris County Arlington Cowchip Fifth Column about this revolting development.   But they won't go there.  All I have to do is ask them is what time does their playoff game start at Jerryworld, point out the fact they've now missed the playoffs for three straight seasons and that should be enough to shut them up about the Texans going 2-14.   Even better, our interconference division opponent next season is the NFC East.




Super Bowl XLVIII logoAhem, focus Moni.

Enough jibber-jabber about my Texans, the 2013-14 NFL playoffs have arrived. While it won't be as much fun for me because my hometown team isn't in the running to play in Super Bowl XLVIII in Met Life Stadium (why) on February 2, I need to get my NFL prediction skills recalibrated.   Mike and Eli's picks are here.

So it's time to dive into NFL Wildcard Weekend

Saturday NFL Wildcard Weekend Games

Kansas City (11-5) at Indianapolis (11-5)

Andrew Luck has been better without Reggie Wayne than you might imagine. (MCT via Getty Images)This AFC wildcard game is a rematch of a December 22 NFL Week 16 matchup in which the AFC South champion (yuck) Colts forced four turnovers and scored 23 unanswered points after exiting the first quarter trailing 7-0 enroute to beat the Chefs 23-7 at Arrowhead Stadium.

This time the rematch game is at Lucas Oil Stadium, and the trendlines aren't looking good for the Chiefs.

They enter this game having lost five of their last six games against Indianapolis. After starting the season 9-0, KC was 2-5 down the stretch including the 27-24 overtime loss against San Diego in which they rested 20 of their 22 starters, blew a 10 point fourth quarter lead and Ryan Succup missed a 41 yard field goal with :04 seconds left in regulation that would have secured the win. 

Even the protection of a retractable roof nearly didn't spare the Colts a TV blackout this weekend.Meanwhile Indianapolis comes into the playoff game at Lucas Oil Stadium on somewhat of a roll, having won their last three games.  So what if they were against the Texans, the Chiefs and Jacksonville, they still handled their NFL business. 

The Colts are determined to not only go deeper into this season's playoffs than they did last year, but win their first ever home playoff game for their sophomore quarterback (and Houston homeboy) Andrew Luck and the out for the season Reggie Wayne.

We'll also get to see tomorrow how well Andy Reid making the call to rest his starters in that final regular season game against San Diego game worked out.  

Be afraid KC, be very afraid.  

Indianapolis wins this one.

New Orleans (11-5) at Philadelphia (10-6)

Drew Brees New Orleans SaintsThis intriguing NFC wildcard nightcap game features a pair of offenses and (ahem) a pair of former Texas HS quarterbacks that can light up the scoreboard when they get rolling in the Saints' Drew Brees and Philly's Nick Foles.

Brees and Foles played for Texas 5A HS football power school Austin Westlake, but a decade apart.  Brees led Westlake to their only state title in 1996 while Foles is responsible for breaking Brees' high school passing records.   This will be only the second playoff game in NFL history in which QB's from the same high school confronted each other and the first time ever two from the Texas high school ranks have done so.

The Saints march into this matchup at Lincoln Financial Field as the number four ranked team in the NFL in total offense, the number two ranked passing offense in the league and five Pro Bowlers.

The defense in their first year under defensive coordinator Rob Ryan wasn't too shabby either.  They were number four in the NFL in total defense and number two in passing defense.     

But the reason the Saints are playing this game in chilly Philly instead of the climate controlled raucous confines of the Mercedes Benz Superdome (where they were a spotless 8-0) is because they were 3-5 on the road.   As the Saints have been reminded all week, they have lost their last five road playoff games and Drew Brees is 0-3 in road playoff games.

Hi-res-454297875-nick-foles-of-the-philadelphia-eagles-signals-to_crop_northThe NFC East champion Eagles after starting 1-3 under new head coach Chip Kelly, caught fire and went 9-3 to capture the division crown.  

They were the number two team in the league in total offense and number one in rushing offense thanks to 2013 NFL rushing champion LeSean McCoy who finished the season with 1,607 yards.  Foles after taking over as the starter for Michael Vick threw for 27 TD's with only 2 picks.

The Eagles are the flipside of the Saints in terms of they did their best NFL work away from home.  They were 6-2 on the road, but only 4-4 at Lincoln Financial Field.   However, Philadelphia did win their last four consecutive home games as part of their 5-1 finishing kick in the second half of the season, including that 54-11 prime time Sunday Night Football blowout of the Chicago Bears.   
 
They also clinched the NFC East title by beating the hated in Philly (and everywhere else) Dallas Cowboys 24-22 at the Jerrydome
 
My pick for this game comes down to location, location, location.  It's also going to be cold with the predicted 8:10 PM EST kickoff time weather expecting a low temp of 21 degrees, 5-10 mph winds, and a 20 chance of precipitation. 

Not what Who Dat Nation wants to hear when they are already nervous about the Saints chances of winning this playoff game and overcoming their playoff road woes.

Since this game is not in Orleans Parish and the Eagles have already proven their offense works in bad weather conditions, going with Philadelphia.

Sunday NFL Wildcard Weekend Games

San Diego (9-7) at Cincinnati (11-5)

Cincinnati Bengals v San Diego ChargersThe AFC North champion Bengals for the first time in two seasons are playing somebody in January besides the Texans in a wild card playoff game. 

They are also doing so at home against a San Diego Chargers team that had to come back from a 10 point fourth quarter deficit to tie the game, then go deep into overtime in Week 17 to eke out a controversial 27-24 win against a Kansas City Chiefs squad that was resting their starters.

AndyDalton.jpgAnother Texas HS quarterback from a perennial Class 5A championship powerhouse in Katy's Andy Dalton leads Cincinnati into this rematch of a Week 13 game in San Diego in which the Bengals came storming out of their bye week to beat the Chargers 17-10.courtesy of a late third quarter 21 yard TD pass to a wide open A.J. Green that turned out to be the winning score 

The Bengals come into this playoff tilt at Paul Brown Stadium on somewhat of a roll.  Including that December 1 win against the Chargers, they were 4-1 down the stretch.   Three of those wins were by blowout margins over the Colts (42-28), the Vikings (42-14) and the not so Angry Birds (34-17) with the only stumble being a 30-20 loss at Heinz Field against the Steelers.  The Bengals for the first time since 1988 were unbeaten at home, and the last time that happened they went all the way to Super Bowl XXIII   

Geno AtkinsThe Cincinnati defense is ranked number three in the NFL in total defense, and number five in both rushing and passing defense.   But as the Bengals have been reminded all week, they haven't won a playoff game since 1991.   Despite this being the third straight season they have played January football, it has been one and done the last two years.

Despite San Diego barely getting into the AFC playoff party, after that loss to the Bengals, the Chargers come into this playoff game having won four straight pressure packed games, including a 27-20 upset win on December 12 over the number one AFC seeded Broncos in Denver. 

Philip Rivers 2013.JPGThe Bolts are the number five ranked offense in the NFL and the number four ranked passing offense in the league. Philip Rivers is also no slouch in the quarterback slot.

They just hope it won't be as cold in Cincy as the last time they played January football there, the 1981 AFC Championship game that the Bengals won 27-7.  The wind chilled temp was minus 59 degrees and replaced the 1967 Ice Bowl as the coldest playoff game in NFL history. 

San Diego is also hoping that bad Andy Dalton shows up.  Not a likely occurrence. Andy Dalton's stats in The Jungle: 63.5 percent of his passes completed with 20 TD's, nine interceptions and a 98.4 passer rating with the weapons to exploit your number 12 ranked defense.

More bad news for you Charger fans to digest.  High temp for Sunday's game at The Jungle is forecast to be 36 degrees with rain and then snow.  You are catching a break becaus it is a noon CST kickoff, such as it is.

Looks like Polar down in Da Ville and the Bengals fans will be were happy and chanting "Who Dey" after this game is over.

Cincinnati
to win this one.


San Francisco (12-4) at Green Bay (8-7-1)

San Francisco 49ers' Colin Kaepernick vs Green Bay PackersThe Sunday NFL wildcard afternoon playoff matchup is a rematch of their Week 1 opening game shootout at Candlestick Park. 

Colin Kaepernick flipped the script and lit them up for a career high 412 passing yards and three TD's enroute to a 34-28 victory eight months after the Niners and Kaepernick knocked the Packers out of the NFC Divisional round of the 2012-13 playoffs with his legs in a 45-31 win.

But this one is being hosted at Lambeau Field because Green Bay fans got both of the presents they wanted from Santa on Christmas Day  

They got the return of Aaron Rodgers to the Packer lineup after spending seven weeks on the sidelines with a broken left collarbone.

The other was the third straight NFC North title won in dramatic fashion in that Week 17 winner take all December 29 showdown at Soldier Field against the Bears.   Rodgers hit Randall Cobb on a 48 yard TD pass on fourth and eight with :38 seconds left in the game to erase a one point deficit.   An interception of a desperation Cutler pass in the waning seconds of the game preserved the 33-28 win.

The Packers are third in the NFL in total offense and because of Rodgers' injury were forced to lean on rookie Eddie Lacy more heavily than they probably would have their franchise QB been healthy.  

But major red flags going into this game is that despite winning three of their last four games down the stretch, none of their wins were against playoff teams this season, their defense has been getting worse as the season progressed, Clay Matthews is out with a thumb injury and the secondary has been getting toasted like Quizno's subs.

The Niners played in the best division in the NFL this year in the NFC West, closed the season winning six straight games including a 19-17 win at Candlestick Park over the eventual NFC number one seeded Seattle Seahawks and have the number three ranked rushing attack in the league.

They also bring into this game eight Pro Bowlers, the number five ranked defense in the NFL, and the number four ranked rushing defense in the league..

We might be looking on Sunday at a replay of the 1967 Ice Bowl. Aaron Rodgers on the field gives the Packers a chance to pull an upset along with a forecast kickoff high temp of minus 5 degrees with a low approaching minus 20.  If the 49ers can overcome the Arctic cold bearing down on Green Bay, Colin Kaepernick will prove once again he is no slouch either at QB and has a better supporting cast and team.

And since he was the losing quarterback in last year's Super Bowl, Kaepernick has a major incentive along with many of the Niners players who had to watch the Ravens hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy to handle their playoff business despite the temps.

San Francisco to win this one.   

Sunday, December 29, 2013

The 2013 NFL Prognostication Contest Winner Is..

Arrgh.  Like my fave NFL team, too little and way too late to defend my prognostication title.  That title is going to Arizona unless Eli has a horribly bad week 17 and Mike conversely has a monster good one.
--TransGriot, December 27, 2013

After 256 regular season NFL games, our season long prognostication battle between defending 2012 champion moi, rookie Eli Blake, and 2011 co-champ Mike Watts has been decided.

Our champion for the 2013.NFL season is Eli, but not before Mike had that monster week I talked about..

While I closed with a 23-9 late season sprint and had an excellent Week 17, had too much of a hole to climb out of.   Mike also went 23-9 in the last two weeks and won this week with a stellar 14-2 record while Eli was 21-11 to give Mike a shot at overtaking him.

If Mike had gotten the Miami-NY Jets and Minnesota-Detroit games right, he would have had a perfect week and taken the title.  Congrats to Eli, our 2013 NFL prognostication champ and Mike for another fantastic finishing kick that came up just short. 

I know I want to do this again next season, and if any of you other bloggers want in on this prognostication battle, let me know before August 2014

Week 17 Results
TransGriot        12-4
Eli Blake           13-3
Mike Watts       14-2

Final 2013 Season Record
TransGriot      144-111-1
Eli                  163-92-1
Mike              160-95-1

Thursday, December 26, 2013

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions- Week 17

It took me 16 weeks of this 2013 NFL season to finally take top honors for a prognostication week and that in a nutshell is why I've been trailing Mr. Blake and Mr Watts all season.

While I tied for top honors a few times, I've had too many sub.500 weeks and not enough winning weeks to be in this prognostication contest at the end of the season in a position to win it.   

And this winning week come on the heels of back to back sub .500 weeks to illustrate my point. 

Arrgh.  Like my fave NFL team, too little and way too late to defend my prognostication title.  That title is going to Arizona unless Eli has a horribly bad week 17 and Mike conversely has a monster good one.   While I had a lovely Week 16 and went 11-5, Mike went 9-7 and Eli slipped to 8-8.

As for my fave NFL squad, we Texans fans already received that lump of coal in our NFL Christmas stockings courtesy of a 13 game losing streak.   After the Texas play the Tennessee Traitors in Nashville, it's hire a new coach and focus on getting ready for the 2014 NFL draft in May.   They'll have an extra month to decide who to select with that number one pick.  Choose wisely on both accounts. 

Native Texan Lovie Smith has already been interviewed for the job, so he's one of my faves to get it. That interview also means the Texans have complied with the NFL's Rooney Rule, which requires every team to interview at least one non-white candidate for any head coaching vacancy.  

The other candidates for the Texans head coaching job include current interim head coach Wade Phillips, Penn State head coach Bill O’Brien and Chargers offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt.  Some rumored to be in consideration are Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin and Stanford's David
   

So the last week of the NFL season goes like this.  Mike has to make up four games just to tie him, five to win it.   16 games to select, no Monday night or Thursday night games.   My picks are in underlined bold print, Mike's and Eli's are here.

Week 16 Results
TransGriot        11-5
Eli Blake            8-8
Mike Watts        9-7

2013 Season Record
TransGriot      132-107-1
Eli                  150-89-1
Mike              146-93-1

NFL Week 17

Sunday Noon Games
Cleveland at Pittsburgh
Washington at NY Giants
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Houston at Tennessee
Jacksonville at Indianapolis
NY Jets at Miami
Detroit at Minnesota
Carolina at Atlanta

Sunday Afternoon Games
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Buffalo at New England
St Louis at Seattle
Green Bay at Chicago
San Francisco at Arizona
Denver at Oakland
Kansas City at San Diego

Sunday Night Game
Philadelphia at Dallas

 

Thursday, December 19, 2013

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions Week 16

Is this NFL regular season over yet?   Like my fave NFL squad, I'm slogging through the worst season I've ever had for NFL prognostication.   Had another sub. 500 week thanks to the Cowboys and Tony Romo having another bout of December Pigskin Throat Constriction Syndrome against the Packers and a few other Week 15 upsets

Don't even get me started about the Texans 12th straight loss that put them in firm control of the number one pick in the 2014 NFL draft next May.   They'll also have to deal with in their final home game at Reliant Stadium a pissed off Denver Broncos team.   They got beat at home by the San Diego Chargers, but are saying thank you Lawdy to the Miami Dolphins for the early Christmas present they received. 

The Dolphins knocked off the Brady Bunch 24-20 in Miami to keep the Broncos sitting m the AFC's number one playoff seed and their own playoff hopes alive. 

Back to my fave NFL squad.  Yeah, I'm still a ride or die Texans chick unlike the bandwagon riders that bounced when the adversity started.    

Matt Schaub is starting this game in place of the injured Case Keenum.  This ought to be fun. 

Hope the roof is closed for this one against the Broncos because you'll probably hear the boo birds all the way to Katy and the Woodlands if another pick six happens. 

As for the prognostication battle?  Eli has a five game lead with two weeks to go.  Can Mike replicate what I did to him last year (I erased a four game lead on him with two weeks to go) and erase it for the win?  Or will Eli hold on for the 2013 regular season NFL prognostication title?


Well, that's a nice segue to the Week 16 picks.  16 games, no Thursday night one tonight or next week, major playoff (and 2014 draft order) implications on the line.   My picks are in underlined bold print.   Mike and Eli's picks are here.    

Week 15 Results
TransGriot       7-9
Eli Blake          9-7
Mike Watts      9-7

2013 Season Record
TransGriot      121-102-1
Eli                  142-81-1
Mike              137-86-1

NFL Week 16

Sunday Noon Games
Miami at Buffalo
New Orleans at Carolina
Minnesota at Cincinnati
Denver at Houston
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Indianapolis at Kansas City
Dallas at Washington
Cleveland at NY Jets
Tampa Bay at St Louis


Sunday Afternoon Games
Arizona at Seattle
NY Giants at Detroit
New England at Baltimore
Oakland at San Diego
Pittsburgh at Green Bay


Sunday Night Game
Chicago at Philadelphia

Monday Night Game
Atlanta at San Francisco

Thursday, December 12, 2013

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions Week 15

KubiakAs far as my fave NFL squad goes, the only thing they are in the running for is the number one draft pick and after this Jacksonville loss, Gary Kubiak probably better be updating his resume
--TransGriot November 27, 2013


Told y'all Gary Kubiak better update his resume in the wake of the first loss to Jacksonville.  The 20-13 one, which was the Texans 11th consecutive one, got Kubes canned from his dream job.

The pleyers getting canned will be determined later

Texans owner Bob McNair said as much in the Monday press conference when he admitted he made the decision on the team plane ride home.  As pissed off as many Texans fans are about this season, railed about his too conservative play calling or the predictability of his offense, there's no debate that Gary Kubiak is a class guy and represented our team and the city with class. .

Kubiak had a full page ad placed in the Sunday Houston Chronicle thanking Texans fans in the wake of his termination by owner Bob McNair.   While Wade Phillips again takes the reins as the interim coach, who will be named the thrid coach of this franchise and who is in the running for the job is only known to bob McNair. 

Rumors are here that former Chicago Bears coach Lovie Smith (one of my faves because he is a native Texan), Stanford coach David Shaw and San Diego offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt are on the top of the list. 

There's also the rumor that current Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin is also being looked at by the Texans.   If they hired him, would be sweet karmic payback to the Aggies for stealing Sumlin from UH when we were undefeated before the C-USA title game vs. Southern Mississippi when we had chance to be a BCS buster.

Speaking of busted, Week 14 was not a good one for me with another sub.500 7-9 mark, but was very good to Mr. Blake, who took top honors with a 12-4 mark.   Mr.Watts was 10-6.

Okay, that one's over...let's get to Week 15.   My picks as usual in underlined bold print, here are Eli's and Mike's.

Week 14 Results

TransGriot       7-9
Eli Blake        12-4
Mike Watts    10-6

2013 Season Record
TransGriot      114-93-1
Eli                  133-74-1
Mike              128-79-1

NFL Week 15
Bye Teams-None

Thursday Night Game
San Diego at Denver

Sunday Noon Games
Washington at Atlanta
San Francisco at Tampa Bay
Seattle at NY Giants
Philadelphia at Minnesota
New England at Miami
Buffalo at Jacksonville
Houston at Indianapolis
Chicago at Cleveland

Sunday Afternoon Games
Kansas City at Oakland
NY Jets at Carolina
Green Bay at Dallas
Arizona at Tennessee
New Orleans at St. Louis

Sunday Night Game
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Monday Night Game
Baltimore at Detroit

Thursday, December 05, 2013

2013 TransGriot NFL Predictions Week 14

Well, this trainwreck of a season for us Houston Texans fans at this point of the year was supposed to be a battle for the number one seed in the AFC as we cruised to our third straight AFC South Division title.

But this season went off the rails when they lost to Seattle in overtime at Reliant.   Now ten consecutive losses later they have an AFC South Division rematch with the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football.  Because our local ABC station has the broadcast rights for that NFL Network game, it's going to delay viewing of Scandal here until way past midnight

Hopefully we'll be happy campers in H-town after that game and the losing streak will be history.  But only if they play four quarters of football, score30 points again this week while keeping Jacksonville to that 13 they scored in the last matchup. 

Hmm, maybe Bob McNair needs to consider hiring Pope and Associates to sort out what's wrong with this team.   Naah, this is more of a job for Dr. Dani Santino.  

It's also being called by my fellow prognosticators the 'Teddy Bridgewater Bowl'.  Whoever loses it probably will have the inside track on the number one pick in the 2014 NFL draft and possibly selecting the Louisville junior quarterback who is a Heisman candidate.

Speaking of that prognostication battle, it was Eli and I that tied for Week 13 top honors with identical 11-5 records.

So let's get to Week 14...no more byes, so it's 16 games for the rest of the season as we get loser to playoff time and teams clinching playoff berths people .. Mine are in underlined bold print,  Eli's and Mike's are here.

Week 13 Results
TransGriot     11-5
Eli Blake        11-5
Mike Watts    10-6

2013 Season Record
TransGriot      107-84-1
Eli                  121-70-1
Mike              118-73-1

Thursday Night
Houston at Jacksonville

Sunday Noon
Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Cleveland at New England 
Oakland at NY Jets
Kansas City at Washington
Minnesota at Baltimore
Atlanta at Green Bay
Buffalo at Tampa Bay
Miami at Pittsburgh
Detroit at Philadelphia

Sunday Afternoon
Tennessee at Denver
St Louis at Arizona
Seattle at San Francisco
NY Giants at San Diego

Sunday Night
Carolina at New Orleans

Monday Night
Dallas at Chicago